Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.143488 2.334787 2.539052 2.774000 3.037527 3.324844 3.662951
2025-11-30 1.900463 2.167862 2.470933 2.842242 3.288120 3.810408 4.474549
2025-12-07 1.702825 2.006018 2.364440 2.824075 3.404649 4.122896 5.093477
2025-12-14 1.551185 1.873702 2.267766 2.791857 3.481643 4.374593 5.645322
2025-12-21 1.401922 1.726739 2.134019 2.691611 3.450274 4.469667 5.984636
2025-12-28 1.321913 1.658690 2.091567 2.701090 3.557929 4.752854 6.608751
2026-01-04 1.262026 1.610644 2.069075 2.731674 3.692228 5.080297 7.330836
2026-01-11 1.211725 1.570652 2.052647 2.766449 3.831644 5.424115 8.116212
2026-01-18 1.165272 1.531980 2.033981 2.794331 3.960179 5.760218 8.928438
2026-01-25 1.116676 1.486723 2.002084 2.798691 4.050728 6.042275 9.682880
2026-02-01 1.053457 1.416849 1.930016 2.736449 4.029937 6.138907 10.119127
2026-02-08 1.003496 1.363118 1.877938 2.700306 4.046348 6.296347 10.683324
2026-02-15 0.962439 1.321024 1.841777 2.688160 4.103823 6.534688 11.446426
2026-02-22 0.944886 1.312569 1.855467 2.755839 4.300653 7.039571 12.817880
2026-03-01 0.907935 1.272956 1.818893 2.738682 4.348777 7.277171 13.674934
2026-03-08 0.870638 1.230901 1.776031 2.707747 4.369056 7.462945 14.448248
2026-03-15 0.821281 1.168112 1.697339 2.611339 4.263102 7.393196 14.635260
2026-03-22 0.798452 1.145400 1.681189 2.620458 4.351186 7.715187 15.784721
2026-03-29 0.781368 1.130798 1.677135 2.649877 4.479097 8.131214 17.238401
2026-04-05 0.766096 1.118276 1.675633 2.683321 4.616998 8.583297 18.874120
2026-04-12 0.750380 1.104267 1.670796 2.710134 4.743689 9.025584 20.578517
2026-04-19 0.731305 1.083955 1.654287 2.714326 4.824938 9.376071 22.106442
2026-04-26 0.701701 1.045271 1.604871 2.654469 4.770107 9.409590 22.727254